The danger isn’t what happened—
It’s what we assumed about it:
Here’s how the ladder
of inference traps us:
1️⃣ Fact → Someone misses a meeting.
2️⃣ Detail → They didn’t answer my email.
3️⃣ Meaning → They must not care.
4️⃣ Assumption → They ignored me on purpose.
5️⃣ Conclusion → They’re unreliable.
6️⃣ Belief → They’re not committed.
7️⃣ Action → I exclude them from future work.
The problem?
At every step, the truth
drifts further from reality.
Fix it:
• Stick to facts, not opinions.
• Pause before assuming intent.
• Stay open to new information.
• Check beliefs before acting.
Use my sheet to see how to catch
yourself before assumptions cost trust.
Check the facts before you move.
The Danger of Assumptions
